Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Gryf Słupsk

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.06	3.35	3.15
	2.06	3.24	3.21
	1.98	3.4	3.45
	2.01	3.3	3.35	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.4)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	3.25 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
45%

Draw
27.1%

Gryf Słupsk
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elana Toruń's performance.

Gryf Słupsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gryf Słupsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elana Toruń that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gryf Słupsk than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gryf Słupsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Elana Toruń - Gryf Słupsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.10.24	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	3:4 ✺
28.09.24	Elana Toruń - Vineta Wolin	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Elana Toruń - Widzew Łódź	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.24	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Elana Toruń	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- Gryf Słupsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.24	Gryf Słupsk - Kotwica Kórnik	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Gryf Słupsk	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Gryf Słupsk - Gedania Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Gryf Słupsk	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gryf Słupsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTWT

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