Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 22

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Elana Toruń		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.55
	1.66	3.57	4.49
	1.68	3.69	4.39	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.6
	1.61	4.1	4.61	Watch
	1.39	4.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.39)	3.8 ↓ (4.6)	4.69 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
56.7%

Draw
23.9%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

19.4%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elana Toruń's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sikorski O. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Roznowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 1, Szewczyk F. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Wojtyra D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 4.

Nowe Skalmierzyce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Elana Toruń is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Elana Toruń won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.03.26	Elana Toruń - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Elana Toruń - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Elana Toruń	3:3 ✺
31.01.26	Elana Toruń - Wisła Płock II	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.11.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTTW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:0
22.03.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:1
25.08.24	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0
01.06.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	1:2
11.11.23	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0
18.06.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	Nowe Skalmierzyce awarded
13.11.21	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:2

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