Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 17

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.75
	3.74	3.95	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 (3.67)	3.88 ↑ (3.88)	1.78 (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
24.9%

Draw
23.6%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Środa Wielkopolska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nowe Skalmierzyce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.11.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Luzino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TWTWL
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.11.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Noteć Czarnków	2:6 ✺
18.10.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Wda Świecie	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.05.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:1
18.10.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:0
03.05.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1
07.10.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:3
08.04.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1
04.09.22	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:4
19.03.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2

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