Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 30

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu (Elazığ)


	Elazığspor		Muğlaspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.15	2.08
	3.1	3.33	2.15	Watch
	3.09	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.23 ↓ (3.33)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elazığspor
29.5%

Draw
28%

Muğlaspor
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elazığspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

Elazığspor - Muğlaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Yavuz H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Bavuk F. ⚽, Aytac S. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Elazığspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Muğlaspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Muğlaspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elazığspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elazigspor	5	3	1	1	12:4	8	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.03.26	Kastamonuspor - Elazığspor	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Elazığspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Karaman Belediyespor - Elazığspor	0:5 ✺
14.02.26	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Batman Petrolspor - Elazığspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWLL
- Muğlaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.03.26	Muğlaspor - Adana 1954	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	24 Erzincanspor - Muğlaspor	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Muğlaspor - Iskenderunspor	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Erbaaspor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Muğlaspor - İnegölspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
02.11.25	Muğlaspor - Elazığspor	2:1

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