Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday
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Elche Ilicitano |
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UCAM Murcia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.50 |
3.30 |
1.87 |
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 |
3.55 |
3.3 |
1.88 |
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 |
3.96 |
3.3 |
1.88 |
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 |
3.83 |
3.38 |
1.89 |
Watch |
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3.85 |
3.15 |
1.84 |
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3.74 |
3.81 |
1.93 |
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3.5 |
3.35 |
1.87 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.7 ↑ (2.64) |
3.37 ↓ (3.52) |
1.88 ↓ (2.35) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Elche Ilicitano 24.6% | Draw 27% | UCAM Murcia 48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elche Ilicitano's form might have worsened.UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.Elche Ilicitano - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 36', 0 - 1, Carrillo J. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, Carrillo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 2, de Vicente J. ⚽,
- 77', 1 - 3, Aquino D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', 1 - 4, Aquino D. ⚽,
- 90+3', 1 - 5, Aquino D. ⚽,
Preview
Ilicitano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Recently, Ilicitano has faced a series of away games on the road. UCAM Murcia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ilicitano has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | UCAM Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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| 15 | Ilicitano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;