Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Castellonense		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.00	2.20
	3.00	3.00	2.18
	3.65	3.10	2.07
	2.99	3.12	2.31	Watch
	3.55	2.95	2.00
	3.58	3.08	2.02
	3.00	3.05	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.65)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.14 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
27.9%

Draw
29.7%

UCAM Murcia
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellonense's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

Castellonense - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Candel S. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Alvarez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Carric ⚽,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellonense	5	4	0	1	8:3	5	12
5	UCAM Murcia	5	3	0	2	12:6	6	9

Last Results with these Odds

UCAM Murcia - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Torrent - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.05.26	Castellonense - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Castellonense - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Castellonense - Ontinyent 1931	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Villarreal C - Castellonense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Xerez CD - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Malaga B	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Minera - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

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