The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elche Ilicitano 31%
Draw 26.8%
Valencia B 42.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
26.6%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
26.1%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Valencia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Elche Ilicitano - Valencia B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Martin C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Piera J. ⚽,
44', Panach A. 🟥,
45+1', 3 - 0, Piera J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 3 - 1, Ruiz A. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Juarez S. ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 14th in the Relegation).
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ilicitano has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilicitano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).