Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 27

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Elche Ilicitano		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7.25
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.34	4.2	6.1
	1.35	4.45	7.65
	1.36	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	4.3 ↓ (4.5)	7.2 ↓ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
66.5%

Draw
20.9%

Villarreal C
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Ajouaou V. ⚽,
62', 🟥,
65', 3 - 0, Houary A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 2.

Ilicitano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villarreal C is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilicitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ilicitano is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ilicitano to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilicitano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.03.24	Elche Ilicitano - Utiel	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Elche Ilicitano - Torrellano	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Levante B - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Elche Ilicitano - Burriana	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Atzeneta - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWT
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
23.03.24	Gandía - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Villarreal C - Utiel	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Soneja - Villarreal C	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Villarreal C - Levante B	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Castellon B - Villarreal C	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.11.23	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	1:3
15.01.23	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	0:1
11.09.22	Elche Ilicitano - Villarreal C	0:0
17.04.22	Elche Ilicitano - Villarreal C	0:0
12.12.21	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
29.02.20	Elche Ilicitano - Villarreal C	1:3
12.10.19	Villarreal C - Elche Ilicitano	0:0

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