Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday


	Castellon B		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.15	3.45	2.9
	2.11	3.41	2.85
	2.14	3.58	2.93	Watch
	2.11	3.55	2.91
	2.15	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.76)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	2.88 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellon B
42.5%

Draw
26.1%

Villarreal C
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellon B's performance.

Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellon B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellon B - Villarreal C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
44', 2 - 0, Alcira A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellon B won 1.

Recent matches Castellon B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal C is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Castellon B won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Castellon B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.24	Atzeneta - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Castellon B - Vall de Uxó	0:3 ✺
23.10.24	Castellon B - La Nucía	2:4 ✺
19.10.24	Patacona - Castellon B	2:5 ✺
06.10.24	Rayo Ibense - Castellon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWW
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.24	Villarreal C - Torrellano	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Villarreal C - Levante B	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Benidorm - Villarreal C	2:4 ✺
04.10.24	Villarreal C - Roda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
26.02.24	Castellon B - Villarreal C	2:2
07.10.23	Villarreal C - Castellon B	1:2
05.02.23	Castellon B - Villarreal C	1:2
02.10.22	Villarreal C - Castellon B	4:0
12.03.22	Castellon B - Villarreal C	1:1
07.11.21	Villarreal C - Castellon B	0:0

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