The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elfsborg 68.7%
Draw 19.2%
Örebro 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
23.2%
13.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
13.6%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elfsborg's performance.
Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-31.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elfsborg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Örebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.1%
8.9%
5.1%
Elfsborg - Örebro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Elfsborg will win
(68 of 79 users predict this - 86.08%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.45% – 93.71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Elfsborg has the most likely position - 4 (15.72%), has project points - 47, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Örebro has the most likely position - 16 (27.84%), has project points - 29, has currently - 7, has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Elfsborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Örebro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match Elfsborg is indisputable favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-8.
Watch
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