Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 3

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Elfsborg		Norrköping

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4	4.8
	1.73	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	4.02	4.73	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.71	3.94	4.71	Watch
	1.72	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.47)	3.97 ↓ (4.98)	4.76 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
56.3%

Draw
23.8%

Norrköping
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

19.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

20.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elfsborg's form might have worsened.

Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elfsborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrköping, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Elfsborg - Norrköping Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 6. Wikstrom R. 8. Holmen S. (C) 2. Yegbe T. 23. Hult N. 27. Zeneli B. 10. Olsson S. 15. Hedlund S. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 20. Rapp G. 11. Silverholt T.	40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 19. Watson M. 2. Peprah Oppong K. 14. Kalley Y. 20. Bronner A. 9. Traustason A. I. 21. Ceesay J. 15. Jorgensen S. 5. Nyman C. (C) 10. Karlsson D.M.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 29. Buhari I. 17. Frick P. 4. Granli D. 30. Hagg Johansson L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 19. Kaib R. 26. Richtner L.	28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 3. Baggesen M. 24. Eriksson A. 7. Fransson A. 30. Krantz T. (G) 22. Prica T. 8. Sigurgeirsson I. 4. Sogaard A.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Falk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Holmen S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Silverholt T. ⚽, Hedlund S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
70', Neffati M. ↓, Sogaard A. ↑,
70', Bronner A. ↓, Sigurgeirsson I. ↑,
77', 🟨,
80', Silverholt T. ↓, Richtner L. ↑,
80', Rapp G. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
80', Kalley Y. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
81', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
82', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
89', Watson M. ↓, Baggesen M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Ihler F. ⚽, Hult N. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 2.

Elfsborg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Norrköping is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.

There will not play in Norrköping: Jansson K. (Inactive) Mitov Nilsson D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Buhari I. (Inactive) Thomasen J. (Inactive) Zeneli A. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Elfsborg won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:31 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Elfsborg won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Elfsborg - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Elfsborg - GAIS	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.03.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:0 ET ✺
01.03.25	Elfsborg - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.04.25	AIK - Norrköping	4:3 ✺
30.03.25	Norrköping - Öster	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
16.03.25	Häcken - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Norrköping - Trelleborg	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
19.09.24	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:2
25.04.24	Norrköping - Elfsborg	4:2
28.08.23	Elfsborg - Norrköping	3:2
22.05.23	Norrköping - Elfsborg	1:2
14.08.22	Elfsborg - Norrköping	1:1
29.05.22	Norrköping - Elfsborg	2:2
31.10.21	Norrköping - Elfsborg	3:2

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