Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 22

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Eltham Redbacks		Melbourne Srbija

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.70	3.10
	1.88	3.9	3.1
	1.93	4.1	3.18
	1.86	4.31	3.15	Watch
	1.85	4.05	3.1
	1.93	4.16	3.12
	1.9	3.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.18)	4.02 ↑ (3.65)	3.13 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltham Redbacks
48.2%

Draw
22.6%

Melbourne Srbija
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eltham Redbacks's performance.

Melbourne Srbija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Srbija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eltham Redbacks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Srbija than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Srbija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Srbija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
88', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Eltham Redbacks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eltham Redbacks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
18.07.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Eltham Redbacks	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Geelong Warriors	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Langwarrin - Eltham Redbacks	1:6 ✺
19.06.26	Eltham Redbacks - Western United U21	3:4 ✺
12.06.26	Brunswick City - Eltham Redbacks	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLL
- FC Melbourne Srbija
Australian Victoria Premier League
18.07.26	Melbourne Srbija - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Melbourne Srbija - Manningham United	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Srbija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
18.04.26	Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks	1:2

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Srbija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide