Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Eltham Redbacks		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.00	3.75
	1.65	4.25	3.65
	1.66	4.51	3.75
	1.67	4.62	3.7	Watch
	1.64	4.45	3.7
	1.7	4.64	3.61
	1.67	4.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.83)	4.4 ↑ (3.9)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltham Redbacks
54.7%

Draw
20.7%

North Geelong Warriors
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

22.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eltham Redbacks's performance.

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Eltham Redbacks - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 8).

Eltham Redbacks is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

North Geelong is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Eltham Redbacks is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eltham Redbacks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.07.26	Langwarrin - Eltham Redbacks	1:6 ✺
19.06.26	Eltham Redbacks - Western United U21	3:4 ✺
12.06.26	Brunswick City - Eltham Redbacks	3:1 ✺
05.06.26	Eltham Redbacks - Bulleen Lions	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Brunswick Juventus - Eltham Redbacks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.07.26	North Geelong Warriors - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Manningham United - North Geelong Warriors	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	North Geelong Warriors - Northcote City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	North Geelong Warriors - North Sunshine Eagles	3:0 ✺
24.05.26	Melbourne Knights - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2

Eltham Redbacks - North Geelong Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide