Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Elvas		Amora

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.09	3.36	3.25
	2.08	3.2	3.27
	2.05	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.44 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
45.6%

Draw
27.9%

Amora
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elvas's form might have worsened.

Amora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amora than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Elvas - Amora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Elvas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Amora is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Elvas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Elvas to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
13.04.25	Arronches Benfica - Elvas	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Elvas - Pombal	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Elvas - Fatima	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pero Pinheiro - Elvas	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Amora FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.04.25	Moura - Amora	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Amora - Barreirense	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Amora - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Amora	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Amora - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Elvas - Amora

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Elvas - Amora Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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