Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Moura		Amora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.35
	2.08	4	2.7
	2.16	3.5	2.86
	2.08	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.75)	3.69 ↑ (3.25)	2.65 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moura
41%

Draw
24.7%

Amora
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moura's performance.

Amora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moura than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amora than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moura - Amora Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moura (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Amora is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group

Recent matches Moura is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amora is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Moura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moura AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.04.25	Lagoa - Moura	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Moura - Estrela da Amadora B	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Moura - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Moura - Louletano	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Comércio e Indústria - Moura	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTLLW
- Amora FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.04.25	Amora - Barreirense	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Amora - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Amora	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Amora - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Louletano - Amora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.12.24	Amora - Moura	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.02.21	Moura - Amora	1:3
02.09.18	Amora - Moura	2:0

Moura - Amora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide