Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Elvas		Loures

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	4.7	3.2	1.65
	4.8	3.45	1.63
	5.67	3.56	1.65
	5.2	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.84)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
18%

Draw
26.4%

Loures
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

28.2%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

28.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Loures has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loures than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Elvas - Loures Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Elvas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Loures will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Loures: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Elvas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Loures is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Loures is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Elvas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Elvas - Sacavenense	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	Elvas - Sintrense	1:3 ✺
03.04.22	Loures - Elvas	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Sacavenense - Elvas	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Elvas - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLT
- Grupo Sportivo de Loures
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Sintrense - Loures	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Sacavenense - Loures	3:0 ✺
03.04.22	Loures - Elvas	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Loures - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Loures - Rabo de Peixe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Loures - Elvas	1:0
06.02.22	Elvas - Loures	1:0
07.11.21	Loures - Elvas	3:1

Elvas - Loures