Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino (Elvas)


	Elvas		Sintrense

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.6
	2.04	2.82	3.85
	2.05	2.91	3.82	Watch
	2.04	2.83	3.88
	2.05	2.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.96)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
44.5%

Draw
31.6%

Sintrense
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sintrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Elvas - Sintrense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elvas won 1.

Elvas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sintrense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Elvas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elvas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sintrense	4	3	1	0	11:3	8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Elvas - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.01.26	Portimonense B - Elvas	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Elvas - Atlético da Malveira	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Elvas	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Moncarapachense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Elvas - Comércio e Indústria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWW
- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
25.01.26	Sintrense - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Louletano - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sintrense - Lagoa	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Portimonense B - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sintrense - Atlético da Malveira	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.09.25	Sintrense - Elvas	2:1
20.01.24	Sintrense - Elvas	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Sintrense - Elvas	2:0
10.04.22	Elvas - Sintrense	1:3
06.03.22	Elvas - Sintrense	1:1
12.12.21	Sintrense - Elvas	3:0

Elvas - Sintrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide