Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 23

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Encarnación		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.18	3.05	2.95
	2.15	3.2	3.05
	2.15	3.33	3.28	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3
	2.21	3.29	3.19
	2.18	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)	3.17 ↑ (2.9)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Encarnación
41.9%

Draw
28.5%

Tacuary
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Encarnación that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Encarnación - Tacuary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Diaz B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Caceres Genes N. F. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Encarnación has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tacuary is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Encarnación will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Encarnación won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Encarnación won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30:43	-13	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25:39	-14	22

Last Results with these Odds

Encarnación - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Tacuary - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Encarnación - Benjamín Aceval	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Encarnación - 12 de Junio	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWLL
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.09.26	Tacuary - Deportivo Santaní	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Tacuary - 3 de Noviembre	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.08.26	Tacuary - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.08.26	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.05.26	Tacuary - Encarnación	2:2
03.08.25	Encarnación - Tacuary	3:1
27.04.25	Tacuary - Encarnación	1:0
Copa Paraguay
19.09.24	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:0 penalties

Encarnación - Tacuary: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide