Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Encarnación

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.00
	1.92	3.2	3.45
	2.09	3.5	2.83
	2.13	3.5	3.19	Watch
	2	3.2	2.95
	2.16	3.58	3.06
	2.07	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.29)	3.08 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
43.8%

Draw
26.8%

Encarnación
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Encarnación, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Balbuena E. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Balbuena E. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Cabrera A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 3, Viveros F. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

In recent matches, Carapeguá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Encarnación's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Encarnación may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carapeguá could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sp. Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37:43	-6	43
16	Encarnacion FC	30	7	5	18	30:44	-14	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	3 de Noviembre - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - General Caballero JLM	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWT
- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.08.26	Encarnación - 12 de Junio	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Encarnación - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Encarnación - 3 de Noviembre	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	General Caballero JLM - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.05.26	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:2
13.07.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	2:1
04.04.25	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0
06.09.24	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0
01.06.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación	4:1

Sportivo Carapeguá - Encarnación