Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Enfield Town		Potters Bar Town

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	5.25
	1.45	4.75	5
	1.49	4.75	5.01
	1.5	4.79	5.06
	1.48	4.57	5.43
	1.45	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)	4.69 ↑ (3.82)	5.13 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enfield Town
62.6%

Draw
19.6%

Potters Bar Town
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Enfield Town's performance.

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potters Bar Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Enfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potters Bar Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Wyllie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', 2 - 0, Wyllie M. ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, Beckles R. ⚽,
67', Parcell M. 🟥,
80', 3 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Enfield won 4.

Enfield in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Potters Bar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potters Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Enfield have a series of guest games.

In this match Enfield is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Enfield to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Enfield won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Enfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enfield Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Enfield Town	0:4 ✺
01.04.24	Enfield Town - Cheshunt	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Enfield Town	2:4 ✺
23.03.24	Margate - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.24	Concord Rangers - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW
- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Margate	2:3 ✺
09.04.24	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Potters Bar Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Potters Bar Town - Kingstonian	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.08.23	Potters Bar Town - Enfield Town	0:2
26.12.22	Enfield Town - Potters Bar Town	4:1
29.08.22	Potters Bar Town - Enfield Town	2:1
18.04.22	Potters Bar Town - Enfield Town	0:2
01.01.22	Enfield Town - Potters Bar Town	4:0
01.01.20	Potters Bar Town - Enfield Town	1:2
26.08.19	Enfield Town - Potters Bar Town	2:2

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