Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Boca Juniors de Cali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.75	6.3	Watch
	1.54	3.81	6.63
	1.52	3.85	6.53	Watch
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.49	3.56	6.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	3.68 ↓ (3.93)	6.33 ↓ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
60.7%

Draw
24.9%

Boca Juniors de Cali
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

22.8%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Envigado - Boca Juniors de Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 15. Cuervo G. 7. Dawson D. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 33. Londono S. 21. Lopez E. 9. Marulanda M. 6. Palacio J. 2. Palacios D. 16. Ramirez N.	12. Obando E. (G) 5. Angulo Perlaza H. 11. Beitar D. 9. Caicedo J. 2. Montano J. 20. Moran Y. (C) 18. Mosquera H. 26. Ortiz H. 6. Perez L. 21. Urrutia P. 19. Yepes C.
Substitutes
25. Angulo L. 20. Catano J. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 23. Hernandez J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 5. Norena S. 27. Quejada J. 32. Rey J. 13. Soto T.	1. Hoyos S. (G) 35. Hurtado K. 27. Hurtado S. 13. Nagles F. 17. Reina H. 8. Vallejo J. 25. Vasco J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Marulanda M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yepes C. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
47', Beitar D. 🟨,
73', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Envigado is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Boca Juniors	11	5	3	3	18:14	4	18
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
01.03.26	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Envigado	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Envigado - Tigres	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Envigado - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLTW
- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
26.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTWT

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