Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Orsomarso		Envigado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	2.78	2.28	Watch
	3.6	2.81	2.32
	3.66	2.68	2.36	Watch
	3.4	2.6	2.25
	3.46	2.72	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.62)	2.72 ↓ (3.24)	2.29 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
26.2%

Draw
33.8%

Envigado
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28.6%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27.4%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Envigado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Envigado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orsomarso - Envigado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Grisales J. (G) 6. Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 13. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Girado S. (C) 20. Gomez L. 14. Martinez E. 23. Parra J. 10. Ruiz A. 3. Salinas J.	88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 25. Angulo L. 15. Cuervo G. 7. Dawson D. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. 6. Palacio J. 2. Palacios D. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N.
Substitutes
1. Arango H. (G) 24. Balanta J. 15. Gomez K. M. 17. Hernandez J. 4. Lasso M. 29. Martinez S. 22. Matamba D. 11. Preciado M. 16. Torres J. E.	31. Berrio F. 20. Catano J. 23. Hernandez J. 33. Londono S. 9. Marulanda M. 1. Montoya J. (G) 5. Norena S. 36. Perea M. 13. Soto T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Dawson D. 🟨,
40', Barrios D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Angulo L. ↓, Berrio F. ↑,
59', Palacios D. 🟨,
65', Cuervo G. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
65', Acuna S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', Arrechea S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
69', Agamez S. ↓, Matamba D. ↑,
71', Quejada J. ↓, Perea M. ↑,
72', 🟨,
78', Parra J. ↓, Preciado M. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Marulanda M. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90', Torres J. E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Envigado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigres - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Orsomarso - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWL
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Envigado	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Envigado - Tigres	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Envigado - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Real Cundinamarca - Envigado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
30.05.25	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1
20.03.24	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1
05.03.24	Envigado - Orsomarso	1:0

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