The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 37.6%
Draw 27.5%
Livyi Bereh Kyiv 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
28.4%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
29.5%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi's form might have worsened.
Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livyi Bereh Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livyi Bereh Kyiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
71. Fedotov N. (G) 25. Gorin V. 3. Grygorashchuk S. 77. Coch N. 8. Myronyuk M. 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 59. Kozak A. 27. Vashchenko D. 97. Klymets O. (C) 99. Rojas C. 20. Sydun V.
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 13. Kovalenko I. 6. Sidnney 38. Chelyadin A. 44. Banada E. (C) 17. Vorobchak N. 15. Voloshyn V. 11. Kvasnytsya I. 20. Fall P.
Substitutes
17. Bendera I. 31. Bilyk O. (G) 11. Boyko A. 10. Ceberio J. 28. Lipovuz A. 21. Nene 13. Repaj S. 14. Tavares R. 22. Vavshko A. (G) 15. Yevpak M. 5. Zaporozhets E.
10. Diego Andradina 37. Geresh R. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 25. Kosovskyi S. 3. Kotukha I. 8. Kryvoruchko O. 7. Shastal D. 14. Tatolna S. 9. Wendell
Coaches
Nagornyak S.
Ryabokon O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Voloshyn V. ⚽, Fall P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sidnney ↓, Kryvoruchko O. ↑,
57', Gorin V. ↓, Nene ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Vorobchak N. ⚽,
69', Myronyuk M. ↓, Yevpak M. ↑,
69', Kozak A. ↓, Ceberio J. ↑,
70', Fedotov N. ↓, Bilyk O. ↑,
71', Chelyadin A. ↓, Tatolna S. ↑,
71', Vashchenko D. 🟨,
81', Fall P. ↓, Wendell ↑,
81', Kvasnytsya I. ↓, Shastal D. ↑,
85', Sokolov O. 🟨,
90+1', Voloshyn V. ↓, Kotukha I. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 13th in the Persha Liga (Relegation)).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Epitsentr may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Livyi Bereh has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Epitsentr has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Epitsentr against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Ukraine
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Fedotov N. (G) 
Coch N. 
Sidnney 
Fall P. 
Repaj S. 
Tatolna S. 
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