Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ukraine	13:00	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
International	10:00	OneFootball TV


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.8	3.2	2.38
	2.85	3.45	2.43
	2.91	3.47	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.35
	2.88	3.38	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.23)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.4 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
33.1%

Draw
28%

Zorya Luhansk
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 13. Kovalenko I. 6. Sidnney 44. Banada E. (C) 8. Kryvoruchko O. 17. Vorobchak N. 15. Voloshyn V. 7. Shastal D. 20. Fall P.	1. Saputin O. (G) 44. Perduta I. 55. Jordan 77. Kushnirenko B. 39. Machelyuk A. 27. Jelavic D. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 18. Boyko M. 30. Nesterenko I. 28. Budkivskyi P. (C) 88. Bah S.
Substitutes
4. Bondarenko V. 90. Bonsu N. 38. Chelyadin A. 10. Diego Andradina 37. Geresh R. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 25. Kosovskyi S. 3. Kotukha I. 11. Kvasnytsya I. 14. Tatolna S. 21. Voloshyn N. 9. Wendell	21. Basic J. 4. Eskinja G. 14. Glushchenko A. 11. Gorbach I. 40. Italo Henrique 5. Janjic A. 10. Juninho 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 6. Popara D. 25. Rybak V. (G) 80. Yurchenko V.
Coaches
Ryabokon O.	Skrypnyk V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Nesterenko I. ⚽,
40', Jordan 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Machelyuk A. ⚽, Bah S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fall P. ↓, Wendell ↑,
46', Voloshyn V. ↓, Diego Andradina ↑,
64', Jelavic D. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
67', Banada E. ↓, Chelyadin A. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Gorbach I. ⚽, Dryshlyuk K. (A),
73', 1 - 3, Wendell ⚽, Chelyadin A. (A),
74', Shastal D. ↓, Geresh R. ↑,
78', Dryshlyuk K. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
78', Bah S. ↓, Yurchenko V. ↑,
88', Nesterenko I. ↓, Glushchenko A. ↑,
88', Perduta I. ↓, Eskinja G. ↑,
88', Vorobchak N. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 8th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Zorya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Livyi Bereh has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Livyi Bereh against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15
12	Livyi Bereg	9	1	5	3	6:8	-2	8

Outrights of Ukrainian Premier League for now

Livyi Bereg: 0.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Zorya Luhansk - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
04.09.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTT
- Zorya Luhansk
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.26	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Zorya Luhansk	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
06.09.26	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1
27.10.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:2

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