Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo (Yaoundé) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Equatorial Guinea	17:00	TVGE Internacional
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Singapore	00:00	beIN Sport 1
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Equatorial Guinea		Sierra Leone

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.25
	2.15	2.92	3.45
	2.17	2.97	3.77
	2.17	2.97	3.69	Watch
	2.12	2.75	3.65
	2.12	3.04	3.58	Watch
	2.13	2.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.82)	2.91 ↓ (3.31)	3.53 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equatorial Guinea
42.6%

Draw
31.4%

Sierra Leone
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

28%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equatorial Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Equatorial Guinea's form might have worsened.

Sierra Leone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Equatorial Guinea - Sierra Leone Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Equ Guinea will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sierra Leone will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Equ Guinea: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owono J. (G) FC Andorra 24. Mbomio R. Atletico Ottawa 21. Orozco E. Hai Phong 16. Coco S. Torino 12. Ondo C. Hodd 8. Buyla J. Lusitano GC 14. Balboa A. Valladolid 22. Ganet P. (C) Persita 20. Eneme S. Sparta Prague 10. Zuniga L. Al Madina 9. Hanza D. Viborg	1. Jalloh M. (G) VPS 2. Kakay O. (C) FC Kosice 5. Turay A. El Gouna 21. Bah J. Augsburg 18. Tarawallie S. Kallon 22. Bah Kamara S. Bo Rangers 14. Fornah T. Northampton 17. Kamara M. Elfsborg 8. Koroma A. Bani Yas 7. Kanu I. Barnet 15. Conteh A. Inter Turku
Substitutes
5. Akogo G. Arenas Getxo 3. Anieboh M. Tanjong Pagar 6. Bita J. Rayo Cantabria 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. Kalju 7. Machin J. Sambenedettese 18. Makate Bokoya C. Lierse SK 4. Masogo A. Tanjong Pagar 13. Nchama M. (G) 19. Ngaah P. Real Avila 2. Nguema F. 11. Salomon O. Esperanca 23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune	3. Abdulai A. Hibernian 19. Bangura A. Middlesbrough 16. Bangura-Williams R. Cambridge Utd 6. Fofanah S. H. Raanana 13. Jarjue Kabia A. FC Minsk 10. Kaikai S. Cambridge Utd 4. Kamara M. Kilmarnock 9. Kanu D. Notts County 25. Koroma F. (G) Katsina Utd 11. Koroma J. Chesterfield 23. Sesay I. (G) Alashkert 24. Sesay S. Arsenal Tivat
Coaches
Annese V.	Gomes Da Rosa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Zuniga L. ⚽,
27', Bah Kamara S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Kamara M. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
62', Eneme S. ↓, Makate Bokoya C. ↑,
62', Hanza D. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
71', Ondo C. ↓, Ngaah P. ↑,
74', Zuniga L. 🟨,
75', Conteh A. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
75', Fornah T. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
82', Turay A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
85', Zuniga L. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
86', Buyla J. ↓, Akogo G. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo.

Equ Guinea is ranked FIFA: 105., and Sierra Leone is ranked FIFA: 122..

In this matchup, Equ Guinea is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Equ Guinea has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
24.09.26	D.R. Congo - Equatorial Guinea	2:0 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Equatorial Guinea - Comoros	0:1 ✺
04.06.26	Burundi - Equatorial Guinea	Canceled ✺
31.03.26	Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Kyrgyzstan - Equatorial Guinea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LL?TW
- Sierra Leone
Africa Cup of Nations
24.09.26	Sierra Leone - Zimbabwe	2:3 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Liberia - Sierra Leone	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Sierra Leone - Liberia	1:0 ✺
FIFA Series
30.03.26	Azerbaijan - Sierra Leone	2:1 penalties ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Djibouti - Sierra Leone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
20.01.22	Sierra Leone - Equatorial Guinea	0:1
FIFA World Cup
07.09.13	Sierra Leone - Equatorial Guinea	3:2
09.06.12	Equatorial Guinea - Sierra Leone	2:2

Equatorial Guinea - Sierra Leone