Match Info

Super League - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Equity Bank		Darajani Gogo

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Equity Bank
41.9%

Draw
31%

Darajani Gogo
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

29.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equity Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Equity Bank than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darajani Gogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
12.12.25	Nairobi City Stars - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Equity Bank - 3K	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Equity Bank - MCF	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Mombasa United - Equity Bank	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTWL
- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
07.12.25	Vihiga United - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Darajani Gogo - Naivas	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Darajani Gogo - Soy United	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Kibera Black Stars - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
10.11.25	Mombasa United - Darajani Gogo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL

Equity Bank - Darajani Gogo