Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Erbaaspor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.28	3.15	3.05
	2.29	3.13	3.18
	2.23	3.12	3.12
	2.2	3.16	3.05
	2.28	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	3.07 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
40.8%

Draw
29.4%

Ankara Demirspor
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Erbaaspor - Ankara Demirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Dama A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Ohawuchi S. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Kaya H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Erbaaspor have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.11.24	Giresunspor - Erbaaspor	0:3 ✺
17.11.24	Arnavutköy - Erbaaspor	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Erbaaspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Menemenspor - Erbaaspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Küçükçekmece - Erbaaspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Aksaray Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Ankara Demirspor - Menemenspor	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Elazığspor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Ankara Demirspor - Erciyes 38	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLW

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