Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Erbaaspor		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.55	2.45
	2.45	3.73	2.45
	2.15	3.63	2.84	Watch
	2.44	3.45	2.42
	2.1	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.15)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	2.59 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
39.3%

Draw
25.5%

İnegölspor
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

İnegölspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Erbaaspor - İnegölspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - İnegölspor (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. İnegölspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Cebeci T. ⚽, Gumus T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
69', Payal G. 🟥,
72', 0 - 2, Aktas O. (Pen),
82', 0 - 3, Gumus T. ⚽,
86', 0 - 4, Gumus T. ⚽, Aksoy R. A. (A),
90', 0 - 5, Aydin O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Erbaaspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, İnegölspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

İnegölspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
02.11.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Erbaaspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Orduspor 1967 - Erbaaspor	4:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
26.10.25	Erbaaspor - Bucaspor 1928	4:3 ✺
18.10.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Erbaaspor	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Erbaaspor - Ankaraspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW
- İnegölspor
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Sakaryaspor - İnegölspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
25.10.25	İnegölspor - Kepez Belediyesi	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bucaspor 1928 - İnegölspor	3:3 ✺
12.10.25	İnegölspor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ankaraspor - İnegölspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWT

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