Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Erciyes 38		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.57
	4.95	3.95	1.58
	12.62	7.43	1.15	Watch
	5.08	4.05	1.59	Watch
	5.6	4.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.93)	4.85 ↑ (3.95)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erciyes 38
14.7%

Draw
19.8%

Keçiörengücü
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.2%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

18.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erciyes 38 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keçiörengücü's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erciyes 38, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erciyes 38 - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Osman H. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Ozler T. ⚽, Osman H. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Kilic A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Ozler T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 4, Fernandes J. ⚽, Potuk A. (A),
86', 1 - 5, Roshi O. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 5, Adamcil T. ⚽,

Preview

Erciyes has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keçiörengücü's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Keçiörengücü is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erciyes 38 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
25.10.25	Kırıkkale - Erciyes 38	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Erciyes 38 - Suvermez	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Erciyes 38 - Agrispor	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Erciyes 38 - Silifke	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Hatayspor - Erciyes 38	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWTW
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
25.10.25	Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	4:1 ✺
29.09.25	Keçiörengücü - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTT

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