Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.56	4.06	4.82
	1.74	4.02	4.35
	1.75	3.90	4.02	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.22
	1.53	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.52)	3.93 ↓ (4.16)	4.84 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
57.3%

Draw
23.6%

Keçiörengücü
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amed SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Amed SK - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amed (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kardesler E. (G) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 15. Gezer U. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 5. Kurt S. 35. Kara A. 27. Moreno D. 91. Saba D. 11. Traore A. 45. Diagne M.	1. Erdogan M. (G) 17. Bilgic H. 23. Mexer 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 6. Develi E. 26. Potuk A. 7. Roshi O. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
33. Afena-Gyan F. 65. Aydin O. 14. Bassan E. 10. Cekdar O. 47. Demirtas K. 77. Hanalp C. 22. Kaya B. (G) 70. Koc A. 8. Kouyate C. 17. Poko A.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 10. Bulut H. 4. Celik A. 79. Duman A. 78. Fernandes J. 60. Keskin B. 73. Lus S. 88. Ozer A. (G) 8. Rroca E.
Coaches
Altiparmak M.	Agcay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽, Kara A. (A),
12', Erdogan M. 🟨,
15', Diagne M. (Pen),
15', 2 - 0, Diagne M. ⚽,
27', Potuk A. 🟨,
27', Caliskan O. 🟨,
29', 3 - 0, Kara A. (Pen),
33', Yesil M. 🟨,
33', Saba D. 🟨,
33', Develi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Karaogul I. ↓, Bulut H. ↑,
46', Bilgic H. ↓, Keskin B. ↑,
46', Potuk A. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
54', Roshi O. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Saba D. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
65', Fernandes J. 🟨,
67', Diouf M. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
75', Moreno D. ↓, Bassan E. ↑,
81', Traore A. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
81', Kurt S. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
84', Saba D. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
85', Yesil M. ↓, Kouyate C. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Ayan H. ⚽, Akman A. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amed won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Amed is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Amed: Cetin Y. (Inactive) Sapan V. (Suspended)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M. (Inactive) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Akdag I. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amed won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Amed won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
29.09.25	Vanspor - Amed SK	3:0 ✺
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sakaryaspor - Amed SK	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Amed SK - Pendikspor	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Adana Demirspor - Amed SK	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
29.09.25	Keçiörengücü - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.03.25	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:2
09.11.24	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.19	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:0
08.09.18	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
22.04.18	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	0:0
03.12.17	Amed SK - Keçiörengücü	2:1
Turkish Second League White Group
05.03.17	Keçiörengücü - Amed SK	1:1

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