Match Info

Date: 10 March 2021, Wednesday


	Ergene Velimeşe		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.62
	5	3.6	1.58
	5.43	3.82	1.63
	5.15	3.92	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.66)	3.74 ↑ (3.6)	1.6 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergene Velimeşe
18.1%

Draw
24.6%

Kocaelispor
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

17.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergene Velimeşe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergene Velimeşe's form might have worsened.

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergene Velimeşe than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergene Velimeşe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kocaelispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ergene Velimeşe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ergene Velimeşe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergene Velimeşe
Turkish Second League White Group
28.02.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Gümüşhanespor	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
18.02.21	Sarıyer - Ergene Velimeşe	2:3 ✺
07.02.21	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Ergene Velimeşe	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Hacettepe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWTT
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Second League White Group
04.03.21	Kocaelispor - Niğde Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
28.02.21	Kocaelispor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	İnegölspor - Kocaelispor	2:2 ✺
07.02.21	Çorum - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
03.02.21	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
31.10.20	Kocaelispor - Ergene Velimeşe	2:1

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