Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 13

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Erlbach		Heimstetten

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.15	3.95
	1.62	4.15	4.15	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	4.17 ↑ (4.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlbach
56.1%

Draw
21.8%

Heimstetten
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

22.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

21.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erlbach's performance.

Heimstetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heimstetten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erlbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heimstetten than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heimstetten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Erlbach - Heimstetten Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlbach won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Erlbach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Erlbach is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Erlbach won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlbach won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
27.09.25	Geretsried - Erlbach	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Erlbach - 1860 München II	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ismaning - Erlbach	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Erlbach - Nördlingen	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Erlbach - Landsberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLTW
- SV Heimstetten
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
20.09.25	Deisenhofen - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Heimstetten - Türkgücü München	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Pipinsried - Heimstetten	2:4 ✺
29.08.25	Heimstetten - Schalding-Heining	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	TSV Kottern - Heimstetten	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
09.11.24	Erlbach - Heimstetten	3:0
30.07.24	Heimstetten - Erlbach	1:1
02.03.24	Heimstetten - Erlbach	1:2
11.08.23	Erlbach - Heimstetten	1:1
17.04.16	Erlbach - Heimstetten	2:3
19.09.15	Heimstetten - Erlbach	2:2

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