Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 18

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Erlbach		Rain am Lech

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.4	5.2
	1.5	4.52	5.05
	1.49	4.46	5.15
	1.46	4.5	5.42
	1.47	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.46 ↑ (4.15)	5.2 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlbach
61.9%

Draw
20.5%

Rain am Lech
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erlbach's performance.

Rain am Lech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlbach than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rain am Lech than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Steer T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Fischer A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Erlbach is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rain am Lech has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Rain am Lech have a series of guest games.

In this match Erlbach is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Erlbach won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Erlbach won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Erlbach
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
19.10.24	Erlbach - Kirchanschöring	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Pipinsried - Erlbach	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Erlbach - Türkspor Augsburg	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Unterhaching II - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Erlbach - Sonthofen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLWW
- TSV 1896 Rain am Lech
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
19.10.24	1860 München II - Rain am Lech	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Rain am Lech - Ismaning	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Heimstetten - Rain am Lech	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	Landsberg - Rain am Lech	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Kirchanschöring - Rain am Lech	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
20.07.24	Rain am Lech - Erlbach	0:1
18.05.24	Erlbach - Rain am Lech	2:1
21.10.23	Rain am Lech - Erlbach	1:0

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