Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Ermis Exochis		Alexandria

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.35
	1.62	3.6	5.13
	1.52	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.6 (3.6)	5.16 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Exochis
57.6%

Draw
25%

Alexandria
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Exochis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Exochis than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ermis Exochis - Alexandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 2 (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 2 (Losers stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ermis Exochis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alexandria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ermis Exochis is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Exochis
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
07.12.25	Evosmou - Ermis Exochis	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Apollon Kalamaria - Ermis Exochis	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Akrites Sykeon - Ermis Exochis	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ermis Exochis - Kozani	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ermis Exochis - Ethnikos Neo Keramidi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- AE Alexandrias
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
30.11.25	Alexandria - Eordaikos	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Evosmou - Alexandria	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	Apollon Kalamaria - Alexandria	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kozani - Alexandria	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Pierikos - Alexandria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLLW

Ermis Exochis - Alexandria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide