Match Info

1. Lig - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tabii, TRT Avaz, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Pendikspor

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7	Watch
	1.71	3.6	3.8
	1.32	5.22	7.72
	1.33	5.28	7.7	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.37	4.86	7.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.79)	4.7 ↑ (3.65)	6.82 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
66.5%

Draw
19.8%

Pendikspor
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.

Pendikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pendikspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pendikspor than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pendikspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erokspor - Pendikspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 4. Kacar T. (C) 97. Cavare D. 15. Nzaba F. 19. Gedik E. 5. Okyar M. 11. Faye M. 20. Niyaz R. 12. Kanga G. 89. Amilton 7. Catakovic H.	97. Yuvakuran U. (G) 23. Gokce E. 88. Fidan Y. 5. Sulungoz B. 66. Dogan F. 60. Karadeniz B. 41. Ozdemir M. (C) 10. Wilks M. 18. Akman H. 14. Yesil H. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
33. Alic E. 99. Beyaz O. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 10. Kayode O. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G) 14. Ulas O.	12. Bitin G. 17. Karademir A. 70. Kitsiou S. 30. Koyuncu E. (G) 21. Maldar H. 28. Pekdemir E. 34. Rogerio Thuram 20. Safin E. 81. Tekdal T. 77. Ugur A.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Sulungoz B. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Niyaz R. ⚽, Amilton (A),
42', 1 - 1, Ozdemir M. ⚽, Karadeniz B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gokce E. ↓, Kitsiou S. ↑,
62', Wilks M. ↓, Rogerio Thuram ↑,
62', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Bitin G. ↑,
72', Ozdemir M. ↓, Maldar H. ↑,
72', Gedik E. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
73', Kacar T. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
79', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
79', Kanga G. ↓, Kayode O. ↑,
79', Karadeniz B. ↓, Pekdemir E. ↑,
84', Bitin G. 🟨,
87', Maldar H. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Pendikspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Erokspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pendikspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Erokspor is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Bilazer H. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pendikspor: Akbaba B. (Inactive) Cicek E. (Suspended) Isen B. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Erokspor: Ulas O. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pendikspor	8	2	4	2	10:13	-3	10
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Pendikspor - the odds 3.97 are the expected chance of winning is 23.23%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Sarıyer - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Erokspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Sakaryaspor - Erokspor	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWTW
- Pendikspor
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Pendikspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Igdirspor - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pendikspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Manisa FK - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Pendikspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.12.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	0:0
23.02.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	2:2
29.09.24	Erokspor - Pendikspor	4:0

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