Match Info

1. Lig - Round 35

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii


	Sakaryaspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.9	1.45	Watch
	6.24	4.19	1.44	Watch
	6.76	4.43	1.46
	6.39	4.62	1.44	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	6.39	4.1	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (4.69)	4.21 ↑ (4.1)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
14.7%

Draw
21.8%

Erokspor
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.5%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.4%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Sakaryaspor - Erokspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 21. Yavuz S. 86. Bekaroglu B. (C) 43. Kocaman A. 2. Ruan Teixeira 91. Bostan M. 10. Pena S. 44. Vukovic J. 27. Owusu 16. Sen K. 99. Yildirim P.	34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 97. Cavare D. 15. Nzaba F. 19. Gedik E. 6. Jack R. (C) 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 20. Niyaz R. 11. Faye M. 7. Catakovic H.
Substitutes
8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 25. Demir A. 14. Demir E. 24. Dursun S. 17. Karatas H. 80. Kutuk S. 19. Soro I. 94. Tuzcu D. 9. Zwolinski L.	52. Arda Ozyurt Y. 99. Beyaz O. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 55. Tekin T. 1. Tetik B. (G)
Coaches
Dalci M.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bekaroglu B. ⚽, Pena S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jack R. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
46', Gedik E. ↓, Korkmaz E. ↑,
46', Bostan M. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Niyaz R. ⚽,
56', Yavuz S. 🟥,
61', Owusu ↓, Demir E. ↑,
61', Sen K. ↓, Tuzcu D. ↑,
68', Okyar M. 🟨,
78', Okyar M. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Catakovic H. ⚽,
82', Niyaz R. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
88', Catakovic H. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
89', Yildirim P. 🟨,
90', Faye M. 🟨,
90', Pena S. ↓, Demir A. ↑,
90+1', Demir A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Erokspor: Kanga G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Erokspor: Ulas O. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sakaryaspor - the odds 4.69 are the expected chance of winning is 19.7%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
08.04.26	Umraniyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
09.04.26	Erokspor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sivasspor - Erokspor	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Erokspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Çorum - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.12.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1
10.05.25	Sakaryaspor - Erokspor	2:0
11.01.25	Erokspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1

Upcoming Matches