Match Info

1. Lig - Round 7

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6


	Erokspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.61	3.47
	1.94	4.01	3.72
	2.00	3.18	3.82	Watch
	1.89	3.64	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	3.66 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
48.4%

Draw
26.1%

İstanbulspor
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Erokspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erokspor: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tetik B. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 4. Kacar T. 15. Nzaba F. 77. Bilazer H. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 20. Niyaz R. 12. Kanga G. 73. Lus B. 10. Kayode O.	1. Dogan I. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 5. Ologo Inainfe M. 4. Tultak F. 24. Uzunhan E. 3. Aksu D. 6. Vorobjovas M. 10. Loshaj F. (C) 11. Aydin D. 7. Sambissa D. 66. Mamadou M.
Substitutes
7. Catakovic H. 34. Cetin E. (G) 11. Faye M. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 78. Isik E. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 14. Ulas O. 16. Yasar A.	30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 44. Ozer Y. 14. Sahin D. 31. Sandikci E. 17. Sarialioglu E. 99. Sol M. 8. Temel V. 28. Tutar A. (G) 84. Yilmaz A. S.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Avci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Amilton 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Lus B. ⚽, Amilton (A),
60', 2 - 0, Lus B. ⚽,
62', Aydin D. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
62', Tultak F. ↓, Ozer Y. ↑,
62', Ologo Inainfe M. ↓, Yilmaz A. S. ↑,
65', Duhaney D. 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Lus B. ⚽, Amilton (A),
71', Ozer Y. 🟨,
74', Sambissa D. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
74', Mamadou M. ↓, Cham A. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Lus B. ⚽, Kayode O. (A),
77', Amilton ↓, Faye M. ↑,
77', Kanga G. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
77', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
77', Niyaz R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
82', Okyar M. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
85', 5 - 0, Catakovic H. ⚽, Karaman A. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 10).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Erokspor is seen as the favorite.

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Ologo Inainfe M. (Injury)

We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbulspor - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.51%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
12.09.25	Erokspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Erokspor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
17.08.25	Vanspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
19.09.25	İstanbulspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	İstanbulspor - Umraniyespor	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	İstanbulspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.05.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	0:3
05.01.25	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	4:0
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	1:2

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