Match Info

1. Lig - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Kurt M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Manisa FK		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.77	3.29	2.34
	2.92	3.5	2.41
	1.74	3.43	4.79	Watch
	2.81	3.41	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
36.7%

Draw
28.5%

Erokspor
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Manisa FK - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erokspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 50. Gocmen B. 13. Ibik A. 2. Talum Y. 60. Toure B. 10. Lindseth J. 20. Benrahou Y. 41. Suleyman B. 9. Diony L. 8. Yurdakul K.	1. Tetik B. (G) 17. Korkmaz E. 15. Nzaba F. 4. Kacar T. 77. Bilazer H. 89. Amilton 8. Karaman A. 5. Okyar M. 12. Kanga G. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 77. Can Aslan U. 4. Herelle C. 35. Inal F. 17. Kahraman O. 36. Karabatak S. (G) 23. Kiprit M. 88. Yilmaz B. 26. Yuce Y. 29. Yurtdas O.	7. Catakovic H. 80. Genc M. 23. Hidayetoglu A. 78. Isik E. 6. Jack R. 24. Kahveci M. (G) 73. Lus B. 20. Niyaz R. 14. Ulas O. 16. Yasar A.
Coaches
Taskin T.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Suleyman B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Talum Y. ⚽, Suleyman B. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Kanga G. (Pen),
39', Talum Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', Faye M. 🟨,
55', 3 - 1, Benrahou Y. (Pen),
58', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
59', Karaman A. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
61', 3 - 2, Kayode O. ⚽, Amilton (A),
61', Karapo A. 🟨,
68', Kayode O. 🟨,
69', Diony L. ↓, Herelle C. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Kayode O. ⚽, Lus B. (A),
80', Yurdakul K. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
83', Suleyman B. ↓, Yuce Y. ↑,
90', Kanga G. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
90', Korkmaz E. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 4, Catakovic H. ⚽,
90+7', Kayode O. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
90+10', Toure B. ↓, Inal F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Manisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erokspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Kırıkkale - Manisa FK	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
13.09.25	Boluspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Manisa FK - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	İstanbulspor - Manisa FK	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Manisa FK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTTW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
12.09.25	Erokspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Umraniyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Erokspor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
17.08.25	Vanspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Erokspor - Adana Demirspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.03.25	Erokspor - Manisa FK	1:1
28.10.24	Manisa FK - Erokspor	0:1

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