Match Info

ALBANIA: Kategoria e Parë - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Demrozi Stadium (Rrogozhinë)


	Erzeni		Kukësi

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2.1
	4.49	4.18	1.54
	4.26	3.98	1.66	Watch
	5.56	3.76	1.53
	2.8	3.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.7)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	1.79 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzeni
23.5%

Draw
24.1%

Kukësi
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24.3%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzeni than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kukësi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Danaj R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Grezda O. ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, Egbutudike C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzeni won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Erzeni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Erzeni have a series of guest games.

In this match Kukësi is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Erzeni won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:19 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Erzeni won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Erzeni
Albanian First Division
05.03.25	Pogradeci - Erzeni	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Erzeni - Valbona	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Lushnja - Erzeni	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Vora - Erzeni	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Vora - Erzeni	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
05.03.25	Kukësi - Valbona	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Vora - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Kukësi - Flamurtari Vlorë	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Kukësi - Burreli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
09.11.24	Erzeni - Kukësi	0:1
Albanian Super League
04.05.24	Erzeni - Kukësi	3:3
25.02.24	Kukësi - Erzeni	1:2
10.12.23	Erzeni - Kukësi	0:0
02.10.23	Kukësi - Erzeni	2:1
25.05.23	Kukësi - Erzeni	0:0
18.03.23	Erzeni - Kukësi	1:1

Erzeni - Kukësi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide