Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Kukes Arena (Kukës)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kukësi		Kastrioti

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.78
	2.32	3.18	2.83	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.86
	2.42	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.73 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kukësi
39.2%

Draw
27.8%

Kastrioti
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Kukësi - Kastrioti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 1.

Recent form of Kukësi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kastrioti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kukësi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
29.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kukësi - Laçi	0:3 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Kukësi - Tërbuni Pukë	3:1 ET ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kukësi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL
- Kastrioti
Albanian First Division
29.10.25	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Kastrioti - Devolli	3:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Lushnja - Kastrioti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
30.03.25	Kastrioti - Kukësi	2:0
19.01.25	Kastrioti - Kukësi	1:0
20.10.24	Kukësi - Kastrioti	0:1
Albanian Super League
11.02.23	Kukësi - Kastrioti	1:0
13.11.22	Kastrioti - Kukësi	1:1
03.09.22	Kukësi - Kastrioti	1:2
16.04.22	Kastrioti - Kukësi	1:0

Kukësi - Kastrioti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide