Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii Spor 6


	Erzurumspor		Adanaspor

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.1	10	Watch
	1.31	4.4	8.5
	1.33	4.75	10	Watch
	1.33	4.76	10.42
	1.34	4.51	10.49	Watch
	1.29	4.4	9.5
	1.31	4.6	9.8
	1.33	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	4.53 ↑ (4.36)	9.84 ↑ (7.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
70.2%

Draw
20.4%

Adanaspor
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

19.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Adanaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Erzurumspor - Adanaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 2. Akbas M. 21. Roshi O. 8. Akgun S. 25. Azubuike O. 15. Giorbelidze G. 10. Tozlu E. 91. Teklic T. 11. Mamba S.	87. Celikay K. (G) 6. Senyurt D. 22. Kurucuk F. 12. Donkor I. 26. Yildirim M. 8. Dabo A. 17. Altunbas M. 23. Alpsoy H. 81. Gemicibasi T. 28. Diakite C. 20. Ciss A.
Substitutes
4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 30. Fettahoglu M. 77. Hanalp C. 9. Kilinc K. 3. Kirtay Y. 20. Ozhan F. 18. Sert O. 88. Tasev T.	4. Aytekin H. 7. Emeksiz D. 64. Guzelbay C. 90. Mollaoglu M. 9. Tapsoba A. 77. Tuzun B. 1. Yilmaz J. (G)
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Simsek Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Mamba S. 🟨,
44', Diakite C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
65', Tozlu E. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
66', Dabo A. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
75', Teklic T. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
75', Altunbas M. ↓, Emeksiz D. ↑,
83', Dadakdeniz A. 🟨,
84', Yumlu M. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
84', Mamba S. ↓, Sert O. ↑,
85', Roshi O. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
89', Alpsoy H. ↓, Aytekin H. ↑,
90+1', Ozhan F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 3.

Recent matches Erzurumspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Adanaspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurumspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Erzurumspor is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Erzurumspor - Ayvalıkgücü	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.24	Çorum - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Erzurumspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Erzurumspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW
- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Adanaspor - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	İstanbulspor - Adanaspor	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Adanaspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.24	Adanaspor - Çorluspor	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
18.02.24	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	1:0
24.09.23	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0
12.11.22	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	3:2
21.02.22	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
25.09.21	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	3:1
17.02.20	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0
20.09.19	Erzurumspor - Adanaspor	2:1

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