Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Celik D. (Tur)


	Erzurumspor		Eyüpspor

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	2.57	3.45	2.59
	2.77	3.48	2.4
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.73	3.36	2.38
	2.75	3.15	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.24)	3.33 ↑ (3.32)	2.36 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
33.1%

Draw
27.7%

Eyüpspor
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzurumspor's form might have worsened.

Eyüpspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eyüpspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eyüpspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Eyüpspor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Yagci O. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. 3. Kirtay Y. 18. Sert O. 25. Estrela 17. Rosheuvel M. 14. Ozfesli A. 20. Ozhan M. 99. Varlik G.	92. Anteplioglu K. (G) 57. Kabasakal M. 6. Yalcin R. 4. Luccas Claro 19. Bayram O. 20. Niyaz R. 11. Regattin A. 91. Yilmaz B. 40. Ampem P. O. 77. Seslar S. 34. Thuram
Substitutes
8. Akgun S. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 19. Budak U. 77. Hanalp C. 6. Karaca A. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 66. Ozdemir E. 10. Tozlu E. 41. Turkmen Y. 16. Yavas M. E.	90. Baltaci M. 99. Bruno G. 88. Erkin C. 16. Fredy 14. Kacar T. 98. Kumlu B. 1. Ozer B. (G) 5. Ozer F. 28. Taskin I. 13. Tetik B. (G)
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Yavas K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Regattin A. (Pen),
30', 0 - 2, Seslar S. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Thuram (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bayram O. ↓, Kumlu B. ↑,
46', Ozfesli A. ↓, Budak U. ↑,
46', Bayrak C. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
46', Varlik G. ↓, Tozlu E. ↑,
59', Yumlu M. 🟨,
62', Thuram ↓, Bruno G. ↑,
62', Yilmaz B. ↓, Kacar T. ↑,
64', Rosheuvel M. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
72', Yalcin R. ↓, Baltaci M. ↑,
75', Budak U. 🟥,
79', 0 - 4, Ampem P. O. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
81', Luccas Claro ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
83', Sert O. ↓, Yavas M. E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1.

Erzurumspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eyüpspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Eyüpspor: Ucar M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Akbas M. (Muscle Injury) Artarslan B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Demirok U. (Eye injury) Kutucu A. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
05.05.24	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Erzurumspor - Çorum	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
08.04.24	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTL
- Eyüpspor
Turkish First League
04.05.24	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:3 ✺
28.04.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Eyüpspor - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Manisa FK - Eyüpspor	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Eyüpspor - Altay	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.12.23	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	3:0
03.04.23	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
30.10.22	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	0:1
17.02.22	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	1:1
18.09.21	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	0:1

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