Match Info

Super Lig - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect
Canada	06:30	beIN Connect
France	12:30	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	18:30	beIN Connect
Indonesia	17:30	beIN Connect
Laos	17:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	18:30	beIN Connect
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Philippines	18:30	beIN Connect
Singapore	18:30	beIN Connect
Thailand	17:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Digiturk
Usa	06:30	beIN Connect


	Erzurumspor		Eyüpspor

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.00	7.00	Watch
	1.47	4.20	6.50
	1.54	4.00	6.10	Watch
	1.51	4.25	7.51
	1.52	4.11	6.6	Watch
	1.49	4.10	7.40
	1.50	4.17	7.29	Watch
	2.00	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.05)	4.01 ↑ (3.3)	6.51 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
61.5%

Draw
23.8%

Eyüpspor
14.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eyüpspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eyüpspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taskiran E. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 18. Mujakic N. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 42. Owusu E. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E. 20. Cardoso M.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 77. Michalak K. 5. El Yamiq J. 4. Yasar A. 33. Jules Z. 21. Giordano S. 88. Massanga Matondo 28. Taskin I. (C) 15. Raux Yao C. 98. Boutobba B. 9. Barasi Y.
Substitutes
21. Acar E. 77. Agyekum L. 8. Akgun S. 90. Akhundzade N. 23. Bayrak C. 19. Diabate I. 99. Fettahoglu M. 9. Kerk G. 3. Kirtay Y. 31. Orbanic M. (G)	18. Akman H. 8. Costa D. 70. Demir M. 27. Demir Y. 53. Karakas M. 31. Moldovan H. (G) 11. Pintor L. 10. Sabiri A. 42. Satli B. K. 7. Ulvan T.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Dalci M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Jules Z. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Cardoso M. ⚽, Giorbelidze G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Yumlu M. (A),
55', Boutobba B. ↓, Pintor L. ↑,
55', Michalak K. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
67', Barasi Y. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
67', Raux Yao C. ↓, Sabiri A. ↑,
71', Cardoso M. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
80', Tozlu E. ↓, Kerk G. ↑,
80', Owusu E. ↓, Akgun S. ↑,
82', Taskin I. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
89', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bayrak C. ↑,
89', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Agyekum L. ↑,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation - 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 0.

Erzurumspor has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eyüpspor is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Erzurumspor for this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Erzurumspor has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:10 (averaging 0.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Erzurumspor against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Erzurumspor	9	4	2	3	8:12	-4	14
18	Eyupspor	9	1	0	8	2:23	-21	3

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Eyupspor: 0.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Erzurumspor - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Eyüpspor - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 25.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish Super League
10.10.26	Alanyaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Erzurumspor - Konyaspor	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWT
- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
12.10.26	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	8:0 ✺
12.09.26	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Çorum - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Eyüpspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
11.05.24	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	0:4
25.12.23	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	3:0
03.04.23	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
30.10.22	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	0:1
17.02.22	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	1:1
18.09.21	Eyüpspor - Erzurumspor	0:1

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