Match Info

1st Division - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Esbjerg		Hobro

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.15	3.50	2.85
	2.19	3.55	3
	2.25	3.8	3.09
	2.11	3.68	3.13	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.95
	2.2	3.48	3.06	Watch
	2.13	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.95)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	3 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
43%

Draw
26%

Hobro
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esbjerg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Esbjerg - Hobro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lykke W. (G) 25. Bjerge G. 15. Sonderskov A. 5. Foss J. 19. Strand S. 11. Bjur P. 22. Hvidt B. 8. Maden M. 18. Hansen M. 7. From L. (C) 80. Brajanac M.	25. Dakir J. (G) 18. Sogaard E. 4. Dorph O. 13. Dietz F. (C) 20. Noshe A. 8. Pedersen M. 3. Enemark C. 27. Klitten L. 26. Hansen T. 22. Huldahl M. 9. Andreasen S.
Substitutes
99. Ahmad A. 31. Bennedsgaard J. H. 32. Blicher N. 10. Boesen O. 34. Jorgensen E. (G) 14. Kolawole J. 30. Kruse M. 17. Lucena J. 6. Vigen L.	43. Breum A. 78. Dahl H. 11. Hauge R. 12. Jacobsen M. 5. Kannegaard M. 7. Klitten O. 2. Londal M. 16. Meedom O. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)
Coaches
Manoharan S.	Gjesing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Dorph O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, From L. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
52', 1 - 1, Dorph O. ⚽, Klitten L. (A),
57', Hansen M. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
57', Bjur P. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
58', Enemark C. 🟨,
67', Hansen T. 🟨,
68', Maden M. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
68', Gjesing J. 🟨,
74', Hvidt B. ↓, Vigen L. ↑,
74', Bjerge G. ↓, Blicher N. ↑,
76', Andreasen S. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Meedom O. ⚽,
80', Hansen T. ↓, Londal M. ↑,
81', Dietz F. 🟨,
82', Brajanac M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 3.

Esbjerg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hobro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Esbjerg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Esbjerg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:35. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hobro: 2.02% Esbjerg: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10:19	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
09.08.26	Hvidovre - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Hillerød - Esbjerg	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Esbjerg - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Esbjerg - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLL
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
08.08.26	Hobro - AB Copenhagen	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.26	Hobro - Vendsyssel	0:4 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.08.26	Vendsyssel - Hobro	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Horsens - Hobro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.10.25	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:1
24.08.25	Hobro - Esbjerg	2:0
03.11.24	Esbjerg - Hobro	3:2
26.07.24	Hobro - Esbjerg	3:6
22.05.22	Hobro - Esbjerg	1:2
31.03.22	Esbjerg - Hobro	2:2
29.10.21	Hobro - Esbjerg	2:6

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