Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Aalborg Portland Park (Aalborg)

Referee: Uslu A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aalborg BK		Hobro

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.45	3.45	2.65	Watch
	2.48	3.73	2.65
	2.42	3.77	2.57	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.5
	2.43	3.58	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)	3.53 ↓ (3.71)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg BK
38.1%

Draw
26.1%

Hobro
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Aalborg BK - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 3. Andersson A. 33. Makolli E. 15. Olsson C. 5. Nielsen M. 8. Hapnes A. 25. Borsting F. (C) 7. Adedeji J. 14. Kubel M. 11. Hansen K. 27. John K.	25. Dakir J. (G) 18. Sogaard E. (C) 15. Bjerge G. 13. Dietz F. 27. Klitten L. 7. Klitten O. 8. Pedersen M. 3. Enemark C. 9. Andreasen S. 11. Hauge R. 22. Huldahl M.
Substitutes
35. Amankwah E. 37. Diagne A. 43. Ejsing G. 23. Kaasa M. 18. Maarup A. 1. Muller V. (G) 31. Noshe A. 32. Tcacenco C. 44. Thomsen W.	23. Bruhn M. 47. Bryld A. 41. Dahl H. 29. Haarup M. 17. Hyltoft Z. 12. Jacobsen M. 5. Kannegaard M. 16. Meedom O. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)
Coaches
Hojer S.	Gjesing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Sogaard E. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Kubel M. ⚽, Nielsen M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Andreasen S. ⚽, Klitten O. (A),
57', Makolli E. 🟨,
60', Kubel M. ↓, Thomsen W. ↑,
61', Borsting F. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
61', John K. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
63', Pedersen M. ↓, Hyltoft Z. ↑,
73', Hauge R. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
73', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
84', Enemark C. ↓, Haarup M. ↑,
87', Andersson A. ↓, Noshe A. ↑,
90+4', Adedeji J. ↓, Diagne A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1.

Aalborg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hobro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalborg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Aalborg: 4.87% Hobro: 2.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aalborg	9	3	4	2	11:11	0	13
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg BK - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
26.04.26	HB Køge - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Aalborg BK - B.93 Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Aalborg BK - Aarhus Fremad	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWWW
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
26.04.26	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Hobro - HB Køge	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:6 ✺
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Hobro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
10.04.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	0:1
14.03.26	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:0
01.08.25	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Hobro - Aalborg BK	1:1
Danish 1 Division
05.05.24	Aalborg BK - Hobro	2:3
12.04.24	Hobro - Aalborg BK	2:1
26.11.23	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:2

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