Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 32

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.9	2.35
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.55	3.8	2.4	Watch
	2.59	3.95	2.43
	2.53	4.04	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.54	3.78	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.34)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	2.36 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
36.5%

Draw
24.4%

Lyngby BK
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esbjerg's performance.

Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyngby BK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyngby BK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Esbjerg - Lyngby BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Esbjerg will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lyngby will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCrorie R. (G) 4. Tjornelund P. 15. Sonderskov A. 5. Foss J. 19. Strand S. 8. Maden M. 12. Lausen A. 22. Hvidt B. 14. Kolawole J. 7. From L. (C) 80. Brajanac M.	1. Aegidius J. (G) 24. Storm T. 30. Fischer M. 12. Pierre N. 25. Tytens R. 19. Fraulo G. 14. Sandgrav L. 20. Kaarsbo M. 7. Colyn S. 26. Gytkjaer F. 9. Abubakari M.
Substitutes
32. Blicher N. 18. Hansen M. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 30. Kruse M. 40. Larsen E. 17. Lucena J. 25. Renecke W. 3. Skipper A. 6. Vigen L.	16. Bondergaard A. 35. Froholdt H. 8. Hebo M. 37. Hjulmand N. 31. Mayland A. (G) 15. Mouritsen N. 17. Steindorsson W. 18. Thomasen J.
Coaches
Manoharan S.	Jespersen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', Kolawole J. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Storm T. ⚽, Tytens R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maden M. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
46', Abubakari M. ↓, Hebo M. ↑,
46', Pierre N. ↓, Froholdt H. ↑,
46', Kaarsbo M. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
48', Storm T. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Kolawole J. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
62', Hvidt B. ↓, Vigen L. ↑,
64', Gytkjaer F. ↓, Bondergaard A. ↑,
70', Tjornelund P. ↓, Larsen E. ↑,
70', Sonderskov A. ↓, Skipper A. ↑,
70', From L. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Kolawole J. ⚽, Vigen L. (A),
83', Colyn S. ↓, Hjulmand N. ↑,
90+3', Froholdt H. 🟨,

Preview

Lyngby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Superliga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Esbjerg: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Esbjerg	9	1	2	6	10:19	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
25.05.26	Hvidovre - Esbjerg	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Hillerød - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Esbjerg - Kolding IF	3:0 ✺
30.04.26	Esbjerg - Horsens	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLL
- Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division
25.05.26	Lyngby BK - Horsens	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Kolding IF - Lyngby BK	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Hvidovre - Lyngby BK	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Lyngby BK - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
24.04.26	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	5:0
21.11.25	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	2:0
20.07.25	Esbjerg - Lyngby BK	0:2
18.03.22	Esbjerg - Lyngby BK	0:3
07.08.21	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	5:0
Danish Superliga
23.02.20	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	2:0
18.08.19	Esbjerg - Lyngby BK	1:0

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