Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		OB Odense

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.8
	3.8	3.75	1.75
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.94	3.86	1.81	Watch
	3.92	3.82	1.81	Watch
	4	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.51)	3.79 ↓ (3.92)	1.81 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
23.8%

Draw
24.7%

OB Odense
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

OB Odense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OB Odense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OB Odense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esbjerg - OB Odense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadegaard Andersen D. (G) 4. Tjornelund P. 3. Skipper A. 15. Stagaard T. 21. Montano L. 5. Troelsen A. 10. Bourhane Y. 9. Ankersen J. 17. Beck J. 12. Lausen A. 14. Freriks T.	1. Hansen M. (G) 2. Mickelson N. 4. Paulsen B. 25. Burgy N. 3. Sorensen A. 14. Grubbe G. 7. Trybull T. 18. Ejdum M. 10. Deedson L. 17. Kjerrumgaard L. 31. Grot J.
Substitutes
27. Baldursson B. 32. Blicher N. 7. From L. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 19. Kvist B. 38. Lucena J. 8. Maden M. 25. Meyer J. 6. Vigen L.	40. Andersen M. 13. Askou J. 24. Bojang Y. 32. Eskildsen M. (G) 29. Gomez J. 26. Hansborg E. 11. Jensen M. 23. Martin W. 15. McCoy M.
Coaches
Sorensen L. L.	Krogh S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Paulsen B. ⚽, Mickelson N. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Grot J. ⚽, Ejdum M. (A),
30', Trybull T. 🟨,
35', Bourhane Y. ↓, Vigen L. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 3, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Sorensen A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ejdum M. ↓, Martin W. ↑,
58', 0 - 4, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Grot J. (A),
62', 0 - 5, Skipper A. (Own goal),
63', Lausen A. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
63', Ankersen J. ↓, From L. ↑,
63', Skipper A. ↓, Meyer J. ↑,
66', Mickelson N. ↓, McCoy M. ↑,
74', McCoy M. 🟨,
75', Paulsen B. 🟨,
76', Deedson L. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
82', Beck J. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
83', Grot J. ↓, Hansborg E. ↑,
83', Paulsen B. ↓, Askou J. ↑,
86', 0 - 6, Jensen M. ⚽, Kjerrumgaard L. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Odense is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 24:35 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Esbjerg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
06.04.25	Esbjerg - Kolding IF	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Hvidovre - Esbjerg	0:3 ✺
14.03.25	Horsens - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Esbjerg - Hvidovre	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	HB Køge - Esbjerg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW
- OB Odense
Danish 1 Division
05.04.25	Fredericia - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	OB Odense - Horsens	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.25	OB Odense - SønderjyskE	1:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
14.03.25	Hvidovre - OB Odense	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	OB Odense - Kolding IF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
26.10.24	OB Odense - Esbjerg	2:1
20.07.24	Esbjerg - OB Odense	1:2
Club Friendly
21.01.21	OB Odense - Esbjerg	4:1
Danish Superliga
07.06.20	OB Odense - Esbjerg	3:1
04.08.19	Esbjerg - OB Odense	0:1
10.05.19	OB Odense - Esbjerg	4:1
23.04.19	Esbjerg - OB Odense	0:0

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