Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Play Out - Final

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Escobedo		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.65	4.2
	2	2.9	3.95
	2.13	2.85	4.82
	2	2.79	4.34	Watch
	2.06	2.63	4.61
	2	2.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	4.31 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
45.5%

Draw
33.1%

Barbastro
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbastro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbastro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Escobedo - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Albin J. ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Sola X. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Escobedo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barbastro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Escobedo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.05.25	Escobedo - Llanera	4:0 ✺
27.04.25	Bergantiños - Escobedo	1:4 ✺
19.04.25	Escobedo - Coruxo	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Avilés - Escobedo	4:3 ✺
05.04.25	Escobedo - Guijuelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTLW
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.05.25	Ejea - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Barbastro - Izarra	3:2 ✺
20.04.25	Gernika - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Barbastro - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alavés B - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWL

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