Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.32	2.95	3
	2.5	2.89	3.11
	2.4	2.94	3.02	Watch
	2.38	2.97	3.21
	2.32	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.31)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	3.04 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

Barbastro
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Gernika - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Lorente A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Alonso G. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Gernika is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barbastro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.04.25	Anguiano - Gernika	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Gernika - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	SD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gernika - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Utebo - Gernika	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.04.25	Barbastro - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alavés B - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Barbastro - Zaragoza B	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Alfaro - Barbastro	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Barbastro - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.12.24	Barbastro - Gernika	2:0
05.05.24	Gernika - Barbastro	0:1
10.01.24	Barbastro - Gernika	1:0

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