Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Escobedo		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	6.75
	1.35	4.4	6.93
	1.33	4.7	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.53 ↑ (4.1)	7.08 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escobedo
67.3%

Draw
19.9%

Sámano
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

20.8%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escobedo's performance.

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).

Escobedo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sámano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Escobedo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Escobedo to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Escobedo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Escobedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UM Escobedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.01.24	Guarnizo - Escobedo	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Escobedo - Cartes	4:1 ✺
17.12.23	Tropezón - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Escobedo - Solares-Medio Cudeyo	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Escobedo - Laredo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW
- UD Sámano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
13.01.24	Sámano - Vimenor	3:0 ✺
07.01.24	Torina - Sámano	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Sámano - Siete Villas	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Atlético Mineros Reocín - Sámano	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Sámano - Colindres	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
04.03.23	Escobedo - Sámano	0:5
29.10.22	Sámano - Escobedo	3:1
05.02.22	Sámano - Escobedo	0:2
09.10.21	Escobedo - Sámano	5:0

Escobedo - Sámano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide